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What's Going to Happen to the ISS?

The International Space Station, still not technically complete - may only be in orbit for another decade or so. Photo CredIt: NASA

The International Space Stationstill not technically completemay only be in orbit for another decade or so. Photo Credit: NASA

The International Space Station is the ninth crewed space station to be built, and with a mass of approximately 450 tons, a width of 354 feet (108 meters), and a pressurized volume of 2746 (837 cubic meters), it is by far the biggest. Construction on the orbiting laboratory started in 1998 and is still ongoing (Russian elements are still being readied for launch).

With the retirement of the space shuttle fleet, the only way at present to transport astronauts to and from the station is via Soyuz spacecraft. This minuscule vessel only allows three crew members to be launched at any one time. However, by the mid-2010s, the U.S. could regain an independent capability to launch crews into low-Earth orbit using commercial vehicles such as SpaceX’s Dragon spacecraft.

Only two more pressurized modules are scheduled to be launched and attached to the existing complex. The Multipurpose Laboratory Module (MLM), also called Nauku (Russian for “science”), will become the major Russian laboratory at the ISS. Due to arrive in 2014, along with the European Robotic Arm, it will replace the Mini-Research Module 2 (MRM 2). The other addition, also slated for arrival in 2014, is the Uzlovoy Module (UM). This four-ton, ball-shaped component will support the docking of two scientific and power modules during the final stage of the station assembly. It will also furnish the Russian segment of the ISS with extra docking ports to receive Soyuz TMA (crew-carrying) and Progress M (cargo-carrying) spacecraft.

The ISS is likely to remain active for at least another decade amassing valuable data in a number of scientific disciplines and exploring the effects on the human body of long-duration spaceflights. Photo Credit: NASA

The ISS is likely to remain active for at least another decade, amassing valuable data in a number of scientific disciplines and exploring the effects of long-duration spaceflights on the human body. Photo Credit: NASA

Looking further down the road, all that is certain for now is that the ISS is funded out to 2020. Its operations may continue until 2028 depending on finances and international politics at the time, and, just as crucially, on the recertification of key onboard systems. Eventually, the time will come when the station has to be de-orbited in as controlled and safe a manner as possible. But before that happens, the Russian Federal Space Agency (RSA/RKA) is interested in using the ISS to commission modules for a new space station, called OPSEK (Orbital Piloted Assembly and Experiment Complex).

In the long term, all the major space-faring nations are looking at ways of establishing a permanent presence in space and of how best to accomplish crewed missions to other planets. The Russian concept is to build a third-generation space station using, as a starting point, modules from the Russian segment of the ISS. When complete, OPSEK would be used to assemble interplanetary spacecraft destined for Mars and possibly beyond. Returning crews would also stop off at the station to recover and reacclimatize before landing on Earth.

At some point in the 2020s, it will become necessary to implement End Of Life (EOL) plans for the ISS. A number of proposals have already been put forward explaining how to de-orbit this massive piece of hardware so that whatever pieces of it are not destroyed upon re-entry will splash down safely in the ocean. Fortunately, there are various ways to control the movements of the ISS—for example, using European ATVs or Progress ships so that it can be accurately moved into a disposal corridor. On that day, observers on Earth will be treated to a once-in-a-lifetime, man-made celestial firework display.

Posts associated with the ISS mission

  • As ATV Launch Approaches, Damage to Docking Sensor Still to be Assessed
  • NASA Discusses Details of Spacewalk to Fix ISS Coolant Leak
  • Space Station Cooling Unit Springs Leak
  • NASA Extends Crew Flight Contract With Russia
  • Russian Cargo Craft Docks to Space Station
  • Expedition 35 Crew Members Complete Extensive Spacewalk
  • NASA Image Turns Solar Arrays Into Art
  • Orbital’s Antares Rocket Rolls Out to Pad in Preparation for First COTS Mission
  • Boeing Completes PDR Milestone for CST-100 Commercial Spacecraft
  • NASA, SpaceX Hail Latest Cargo Mission to ISS
  • Fast-Track Soyuz TMA-08M Crew Arrives at Space Station – UPDATE
  • Soyuz TMA-08M Crew Ready for Rapid Trek to Space Station
  • Expedition 34 Crew Lands Safely in Kazakhstan
  • Oh, Canada! First Canadian ISS Commander Scheduled to Take the Reins Today
  • NASA TV Coverage Planned For Space Station Soyuz Landing
  • SpaceX Conducts Fourth Successful Grasshopper Launch, Doubles Previous Altitude
  • NASA Official Describes Commercial Crew and Its Importance to Human Space Exploration
  • Video Cameras Get Creamed by SpaceX Falcon 9 Rocket Plume
  • California Students Speak Live with Space Station Astronauts
  • Photo Feature: The Falcon and the Dragon
  • Dragon Breathes Perfect Fire as CRS-2 Roars to Orbit -UPDATE
  • Sequestration to Squash Commercial Crew?
  • Atlantis Ascends: Orbiter’s New Home Readied for June Opening
  • What’s Going to Happen to the ISS?
  • Things Returning to Normal on International Space Station
  • Communications Lost With International Space Station – UPDATE
  • NASA, SpaceX Select March 1 for Next Cargo Resupply Services Flight
  • NASA Hosts Its First Google+ Hangout Connecting with Space Station
  • NASA to Launch Ocean Wind Monitor to Space Station
  • Two More NASA Astronauts Leave Agency
  • ‘Space Shuttle Columbia: Mission of Hope’ to Air on PBS
  • NASA Announces Space Station Science Challenge Winners
  • NASA to be Part of President Obama’s Inaugural Activities Jan. 18–21
  • NASA, Space Station Partners Announce Future Crew Members
  • 45th Space Wing’s Commander: ‘Yes, We Are Still Launching Rockets!’
  • ESC Empowers: Conclusion
  • ESC Empowers Part 5: Developing the Future
  • ESC Empowers Part 4: Rolling Thunder
  • ESC Empowers Part 3: Payloads & Space Life Sciences
  • NASA Posts Free PDF International Space Station Calendar Online
  • Tire Tracks to Our Future: 40th Anniversary of NASA’s Lunar Rover
  • ESC Empowers Part 1: The People that Make the Magic
  • On @ The 90: Build the Enterprise—Seriously?
  • Missions to Watch in 2013
  • Study Finds Long Stays in Space can Accelerate Alzheimer’s
  • New Year’s Greeting from Crew of International Space Station
  • Russia to Spend $70 Billion on Space Program in 2013–2020
  • What Do Mir’s Solar Arrays Predict for ISS Arrays? Part 2: The Mir Cooperative Solar Array
  • 2012: A Year of Loss
  • Looking Back-Looking Forward: 50 Years with NASA
  • 2 comments to What’s Going to Happen to the ISS?

    • [...] be treated to a once-in-a-lifetime, man-made celestial firework display.Originally Appearing in AmericaSpace by David [...]

    • mike shupp

      Why not dump on it on the moon? Even if that effectively reduces it to scrap metal, scrap has its uses, and the cost is sure to be less than the ten thousand bucks per pound it would take to transport material from earth to the moon.

      Alternately, boost it into geosynchronous (or higher) orbit, on the theory that in a century or two someone will find a use for the old birth. Just dumping a muti-billion dollar space station into the drink for the sheer pleasure of making it go splash! is what children would do. Or vandals.

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